Macrohistory Seminar – Melissa Rubio Ramos (University of Gothenburg). From Plantations to Prisons: The Legacy of Slavery on Black Incarceration in the US.
From Plantations to Prisons: The Legacy of Slavery on Black Incarceration in the US. Black males constitute 6.5% of the US population but account for 40% of the prison population. The extent to which these disparities reflect differences in criminal conduct and socio-economic background, as opposed to differential treatment is...
Macrohistory Seminar – Olga Goldfayn-Frank (Goethe University Frankfurt). Expectation Formation in a New Environment: Evidence from the German Reunification.
Expectation formation in a new environment: Evidence from the German Reunification. Joint with Johannes Wohlfart Exploiting the German reunification, we study how households adapt to a new environment in their macroeconomic forecasting. East Germans expect higher inflation than West Germans decades after reunification. These differences are likely driven by the persistent...
Macrohistory Seminar – Cathrin Mohr (LMU) Carrots and Sticks: Targeting the Opposition in an Autocratic Regime
Carrots and Sticks: Targeting the Opposition in an Autocratic Regime. Autocratic regimes can use carrots or sticks to ensure that they are not overthrown by their opposition in the population. Carrots, i.e. allocation of resources, increase popularity of the regime, but can induce moral hazard if the opposition learns that...
Macrohistory Seminar – Andrei Markevich (New Economic School). Democratic Support for the Bolshevik Revolution: An Empirical Investigation of 1917 Constituent Assembly Elections
Democratic Support for the Bolshevik Revolution: An Empirical Investigation of 1917 Constituent Assembly Elections Scholars have long-debated the causes of popular support for the Russian Revolution and how this support translated into successful regime change. We systematically investigate cross-district and cross-city variation in popular support for the Bolsheviks using voting...
Macrohistory Seminar – Sheilagh Ogilvie (University of Cambridge). Was Domar Right? Serfdom and Factor Endowments in Bohemia.
Was Domar Right? Serfdom and Factor Endowments in Bohemia. Joint with Alexander Klein and Jeremy Edwards. Are institutions shaped by factor endowments? Labor-coercion institutions such as serfdom and slavery, which profoundly restricted economic growth, were ascribed by Domar to high land-labor ratios. But historical evidence appeared to refute this hypothesis. We...
Macrohistory Seminar – Yining Geng (University of Liverpool) Intergenerational Mobility in China across Space and Time
Intergenerational Mobility in China across Space and Time Inequality is an important issue in many countries, and intergenerational mobility is one of the key mechanisms for alleviating inequality. What drives mobility? Why do some areas generate higher rates of mobility than others? This paper has two objectives. First, using individual...